Institute vs Dundela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
INS
64%
19%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
INS
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dundela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARD
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NEY
3 - 1
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
DUN
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |