Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 0
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 2
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 0
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |