Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 3
CLI
57%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |