Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
INS
56%
21%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 4
LAR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
INS
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
CRU
30%
23%
47%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GLE
0 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
BAN
82%
14%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
CLI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WAR
0 - 4
COL
12%
21%
68%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |