Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 3
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
INS
64%
19%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 5
BAN
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
AUN
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
BAN
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEY
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |