Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 2
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
COL
3 - 2
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |