Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUN
0 - 0
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
CSF
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 4
INS
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
INS
3 - 2
ARD
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
BAL
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
5 - 2
SAF
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 4
HAR
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
1 - 2
BAL
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
KNO
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | +1 |