Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
NEY
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
KNO
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
INS
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
BAL
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |