Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
DER
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
34%
25%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUN
0 - 0
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
CSF
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
ARD
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAN
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |