Innsbrucker SK vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Innsbrucker SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LUS
4 - 1
INN
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
INN
1 - 1
WAT
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
HOH
5 - 0
INN
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
INN
2 - 2
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
3 - 1
INN
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
1 - 0
AUS
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 1
HAR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
REI
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
HAL
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |