Inner Mongolia vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inner Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
QFC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
HSF
2 - 2
MON
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
YGT
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
QYF
3 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ZQF
3 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 2
CHO
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
QYF
1 - 1
HBF
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
HBF
5%
13%
82%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SSP
1 - 2
HBF
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
HBF
0 - 3
NHC
10%
18%
72%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |