Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 4-7
Inkaras Kaunas vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inkaras Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
INK
1 - 1
SSO
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
SSO
4 - 3
INK
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1996 |
FKK
2 - 1
INK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
INK
0 - 3
BIF
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
BIF
3 - 0
INK
84%
11%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
ZBR
5 - 1
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
TEP
1 - 2
ZBR
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ZBR
2 - 1
ESK
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ZBR
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ZBR
2 - 0
OPA
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |