UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-5
Inkaras Kaunas vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inkaras Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
BRE
4 - 1
INK
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1998 |
PIV
1 - 0
INK
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
INK
1 - 0
PIV
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
ZBR
6 - 1
INK
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
INK
3 - 1
ZBR
31%
24%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
BRE
4 - 1
INK
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
STU
1 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 0
RTV
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
S04
0 - 1
BRE
45%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 0
KOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |