Inhulets vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
74.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
15º
14º
72
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inhulets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
RYV
3 - 0
INH
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
INH
0 - 0
HKR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
INH
0 - 2
SKD
15%
23%
63%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 0
INH
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
INH
1 - 0
RYV
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
SHA
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
MIN
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
SHA
13%
20%
68%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
SHA
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
LVI
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |