Ingolstadt U19 vs Ulm U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
4º
3º
18
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 3
ING
16%
19%
66%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ING
0 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
SJR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
ING
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ING
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
3 - 1
SJR
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
SSU
87%
9%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
AUG
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
6 - 1
SSU
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FRE
4 - 0
SSU
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |