Ingolstadt U19 vs FC Augsburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
4º
3º
19
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 1
ING
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
SSU
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 3
ING
16%
19%
66%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ING
0 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
BYM
8%
13%
80%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SJR
2 - 2
AUG
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 2
MUN
29%
22%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
AUG
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 2
UNT
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |