Ingolstadt 04 II vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
MEM
2 - 4
ING
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ING
3 - 0
ELT
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
186
2 - 2
ING
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ING
2 - 2
HEI
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ING
3 - 0
AUG
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 1
ILL
24%
24%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 0
MEM
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 5
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
ISM
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |