Ingolstadt 04 II vs DJK Gebenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
10º
4º
5
10º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
5 - 0
ING
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ING
0 - 2
NEU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AMM
0 - 0
ING
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ING
4 - 3
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
4 - 0
ING
36%
24%
39%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
DJK
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 2
TSV
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 2
DJK
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 1
BAY
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |