Ingolstadt 04 II vs ASV Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
3º
31
1º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
ING
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ING
5 - 2
NEU
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 3
ING
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
JRE
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
36%
23%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEU
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
EIC
22%
22%
55%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 0
TSV
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSK
2 - 1
ASV
14%
19%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |