England U21 vs San Marino U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
2 - 2
CZE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
3 - 0
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
5 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
2%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
79 | 18 | 61 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FIN
1 - 1
ENG
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 0
SMR
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 79 | 61 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 0
WAL
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |