England U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 3
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
ENG
31%
26%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
ENG
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |