England U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 2
ENG
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
0 - 0
ENG
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 4
ENG
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
ENG
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 2
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
SVK
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
CZE
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
ITA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
GER
16%
21%
64%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |