England U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 2
AUT
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEU
1 - 1
ENG
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WLS
0 - 4
ENG
14%
20%
65%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 0
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 2
DEU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
WLS
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
POL
2 - 2
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
POL
1 - 3
DEU
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
1 - 1
POL
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |