UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
England U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
POL
1 - 2
ENG
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1981 |
ENG
2 - 0
HUN
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1981 |
HUN
1 - 2
ENG
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | +2 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ENG
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1981 |
ENG
3 - 0
ROU
18%
24%
58%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | +3 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
POL
1 - 2
ENG
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1981 |
POL
4 - 0
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
BRD
2 - 3
POL
30%
23%
46%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |