England U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
AZE
0 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ENG
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
ENG
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 3
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
AUT
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 2
NOR
32%
23%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |