England U21 vs Montenegro U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 3
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 0
SRB
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
MNE
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 3
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SVN
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
1 - 2
MNE
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |