England U21 vs Luxembourg U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 5
ENG
6%
14%
80%
|
82 | 41 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SRB
0 - 3
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
3 - 2
ENG
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
9 - 1
SRB
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LUX
1 - 1
SRB
14%
21%
66%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SRB
2 - 0
LUX
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
UKR
4 - 0
LUX
88%
10%
3%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AZE
3 - 2
LUX
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 3
UKR
7%
15%
78%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | -1 |