England U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
ENG
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ENG
2 - 0
UZB
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 25 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 2
GRC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 0
ENG
9%
18%
73%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 1
LTU
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
2 - 1
LVA
31%
25%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LTU
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |