UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
England U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 0
ESP
59%
18%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |