England U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
4 - 1
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
6 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 2
CZE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
2 - 1
BEL
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ISL
3 - 1
DEN
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
SUI
2 - 0
ISL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |