England U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
TUR
1 - 0
ENG
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
SVK
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 1
TUR
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NED
0 - 0
MDA
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
CZE
1 - 2
NED
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
NED
0 - 0
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
BLR
2 - 1
NED
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
NED
3 - 0
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |