U21 EC Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 5-4
England U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
WLS
2 - 3
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
PRT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVN
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
WLS
0 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ENG
0 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
WLS
2 - 3
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ROU
0 - 3
WLS
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
WLS
0 - 1
ROU
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
WLS
0 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
WLS
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |