UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
England U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
0 - 2
ENG
71%
16%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1983 |
ENG
4 - 1
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
ENG
2 - 1
GRC
38%
24%
39%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 0
ENG
72%
15%
12%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
FRA
2 - 0
LUX
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
SWE
2 - 2
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
LUX
0 - 5
FRA
32%
22%
46%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
4 - 2
FRA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 16 | 47 | 0 |