England U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
7 - 0
AZE
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ENG
0 - 2
FRA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 5
ENG
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
ECU
3 - 2
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 11 | 68 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
1 - 0
BLR
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FIN
1 - 2
LVA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
FIN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |