UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
England U21 vs Denmark U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
DEN
0 - 1
ENG
67%
18%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1984 |
ENG
2 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
ENG
76%
15%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
ENG
3 - 1
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
DEN
0 - 1
ENG
67%
18%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
GRC
1 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
5 - 1
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1983 |
ENG
4 - 1
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
DEN
2 - 1
HUN
57%
20%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |