UEFA EC U21 Final
Global 5-4
England U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 4
ENG
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
5%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 2
POL
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
POL
1 - 2
ENG
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1982 |
GER
5 - 0
SUN
89%
8%
4%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 4
GER
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
GER
4 - 1
BGR
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |