England U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
ENG
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
QAT
2 - 1
ENG
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ENG
4 - 2
EGY
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +10 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
ENG
1 - 1
AUS
26%
26%
48%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 1981 |
ENG
1 - 1
ARG
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
4 - 1
URU
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
PER
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |