England U20 vs Iraq U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
ENG
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
NGA
1 - 0
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 0
ENG
91%
8%
2%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
22 | 82 | 60 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
ENG
0 - 0
COR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
IRQ
5 - 3
NZL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
URY
0 - 0
IRQ
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 3
IRQ
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 2
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
IRQ
2 - 2
SIR
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |