England U20 vs France U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
UZB
1 - 1
ENG
89%
9%
2%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
4 - 0
ENG
94%
6%
1%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
0 - 1
URU
3%
12%
86%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
2 - 0
AUS
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 59 | 37 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 0
MNE
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | +13 |
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
MNE
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
CIV
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
FRA
4 - 1
JPN
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 0
COL
29%
24%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |