U19 EC Qualifying Final
Global 3-2
England U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
3 - 1
HUN
2%
12%
85%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | +9 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
4 - 1
GEO
1%
10%
89%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | +12 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
CYP
0 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
RUS
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |