England U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 0
MNE
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ENG
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 1
ISL
74%
16%
11%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 4
ENG
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
AUT
21%
20%
59%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GIB
2 - 9
WAL
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 0
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 0
HUN
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
KOS
0 - 3
WAL
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |