England U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
NED
1 - 2
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 0
ESP
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRC
1 - 1
ENG
17%
19%
64%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 1
GEO
68%
18%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
FRA
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 3
NED
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 0
BEL
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 3
CRO
24%
22%
54%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
BGR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |