England U19 vs Germany U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
76.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 1
LTU
7%
17%
76%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
3 - 1
HUN
2%
12%
85%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | +9 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
4 - 1
GEO
1%
10%
89%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | +12 |
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2002 |
POL
2 - 2
GER
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
GER
0 - 0
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
GER
3 - 1
SWE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
TUR
2 - 2
GER
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |