England U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 3
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 1
SRB
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
POR
4 - 4
ENG
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ENG
1 - 2
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
2 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 2
IRL
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
LVA
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 0
POL
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
SRB
1 - 1
ITA
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |