England U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2003 |
ISR
1 - 2
ENG
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
ENG
5 - 0
SVK
42%
23%
34%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
CZE
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
ENG
4 - 1
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +11 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
35%
23%
41%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
ITA
3 - 0
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 1
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |