England U17 vs Spain U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUT
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 1
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
UKR
0 - 2
ENG
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 2
ENG
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ENG
1 - 0
ISL
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
NIR
1 - 4
ESP
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
1 - 6
ESP
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |