England U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 3
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 1
SRB
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
POR
4 - 4
ENG
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
RUS
5 - 0
BGR
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BGR
1 - 1
GEO
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 0
BGR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
AUT
0 - 4
BGR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 0
BGR
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |