Infesta vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
INF
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
INF
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
INF
1 - 1
FAF
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
INF
1 - 4
OSL
28%
26%
47%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
OSL
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 2
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |