Infesta vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
INF
1 - 0
RIB
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 1
INF
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 4
INF
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
INF
0 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAM
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
TIR
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 1
JOA
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 4
VIZ
44%
28%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |