Inegöl Kafkas Genclik SK vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2327%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
13º
7º
6
3º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 61 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 46 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
35.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inegöl Kafkas Genclik SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
IKG
0 - 0
MAZ
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IKG
2 - 1
ASK
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NSG
1 - 0
IKG
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MBB
4 - 2
IKG
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IKG
3 - 1
TAR
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 3
FAT
56%
25%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
BIS
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAT
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 1
BAY
36%
29%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 0
FAT
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |